barack obama leads. let's deal with north carolina, i thought that romney would win that. >> well, look, this is the closest state in 2008 for obama of all the battle ground states, this is the one that romney is doing the best in, but not doing very well anywhere, in fact, only within the margin of error in north carolina and that poses a problem for him. new hampshire, again, i would have thought romney would be winning significantly in new hampshire, but he's not. down 51-44. >> big change in new hampshire, who is better able to handle the economy, romney used to be seen that way, and right direction, wrong direction, down 20 points, people thinking he was going the redwing direction, and previous polls now only 7. again, new hampshire better off economically than other places and romney neighbor's state isn't helping him in michigan or massachusetts. stuart: let's get to the big debate. you know what the debate is are your polls, are they valid, are they accurate? there's a question about if you look